Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000623 0.000708 0.000798 0.000900 0.001012 0.001131 0.001268
2025-12-14 0.000484 0.000600 0.000731 0.000890 0.001075 0.001282 0.001533
2025-12-21 0.000404 0.000532 0.000683 0.000874 0.001105 0.001374 0.001709
2025-12-28 0.000361 0.000501 0.000672 0.000896 0.001176 0.001511 0.001939
2026-01-04 0.000324 0.000471 0.000658 0.000908 0.001231 0.001627 0.002144
2026-01-11 0.000286 0.000435 0.000631 0.000901 0.001258 0.001707 0.002304
2026-01-18 0.000254 0.000403 0.000605 0.000893 0.001282 0.001780 0.002455
2026-01-25 0.000232 0.000383 0.000594 0.000901 0.001325 0.001878 0.002640
2026-02-01 0.000210 0.000361 0.000579 0.000902 0.001357 0.001961 0.002806
2026-02-08 0.000184 0.000329 0.000545 0.000875 0.001349 0.001989 0.002898
2026-02-15 0.000162 0.000303 0.000518 0.000854 0.001347 0.002023 0.002998
2026-02-22 0.000147 0.000285 0.000502 0.000849 0.001366 0.002086 0.003138
2026-03-01 0.000133 0.000270 0.000489 0.000846 0.001390 0.002158 0.003292
2026-03-08 0.000119 0.000252 0.000471 0.000835 0.001400 0.002209 0.003420
2026-03-15 0.000106 0.000234 0.000451 0.000820 0.001403 0.002250 0.003533
2026-03-22 0.000101 0.000230 0.000454 0.000841 0.001461 0.002372 0.003763
2026-03-29 0.000095 0.000223 0.000451 0.000853 0.001505 0.002473 0.003966
2026-04-05 0.000086 0.000211 0.000438 0.000846 0.001518 0.002530 0.004105
2026-04-12 0.000078 0.000199 0.000425 0.000838 0.001530 0.002583 0.004239
2026-04-19 0.000073 0.000192 0.000421 0.000846 0.001566 0.002674 0.004431
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000184 0.000413 0.000847 0.001591 0.002748 0.004599
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000169 0.000391 0.000821 0.001572 0.002752 0.004661
2026-05-10 0.000052 0.000156 0.000373 0.000801 0.001560 0.002768 0.004739